Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftReviewfagfællebedømt

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Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI) : facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century. / Groisman, Pavel; Shugart, Herman; Kicklighter, David; Henebry, Geoffrey; Tchebakova, Nadezhda; Maksyutov, Shamil; Monier, Erwan; Gutman, Garik; Gulev, Sergey; Qi, Jiaguo; Prishchepov, Alexander; Kukavskaya, Elena; Porfiriev, Boris; Shiklomanov, Alexander; Loboda, Tatiana; Shiklomanov, Nikolay; Nghiem, Son; Bergen, Kathleen; Albrechtova, Jana; Chen, Jiquan; Shahgedanova, Maria; Shvidenko, Anatoly; Speranskaya, Nina; Soja, Amber; de Beurs, Kirsten; Bulygina, Olga; McCarty, Jessica; Zhuang, Qianlai; Zolina, Olga.

I: Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, Bind 4, 41, 27.12.2017.

Publikation: Bidrag til tidsskriftReviewfagfællebedømt

Harvard

Groisman, P, Shugart, H, Kicklighter, D, Henebry, G, Tchebakova, N, Maksyutov, S, Monier, E, Gutman, G, Gulev, S, Qi, J, Prishchepov, A, Kukavskaya, E, Porfiriev, B, Shiklomanov, A, Loboda, T, Shiklomanov, N, Nghiem, S, Bergen, K, Albrechtova, J, Chen, J, Shahgedanova, M, Shvidenko, A, Speranskaya, N, Soja, A, de Beurs, K, Bulygina, O, McCarty, J, Zhuang, Q & Zolina, O 2017, 'Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century', Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, bind 4, 41. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5

APA

Groisman, P., Shugart, H., Kicklighter, D., Henebry, G., Tchebakova, N., Maksyutov, S., Monier, E., Gutman, G., Gulev, S., Qi, J., Prishchepov, A., Kukavskaya, E., Porfiriev, B., Shiklomanov, A., Loboda, T., Shiklomanov, N., Nghiem, S., Bergen, K., Albrechtova, J., ... Zolina, O. (2017). Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 4, [41]. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5

Vancouver

Groisman P, Shugart H, Kicklighter D, Henebry G, Tchebakova N, Maksyutov S o.a. Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century. Progress in Earth and Planetary Science. 2017 dec. 27;4. 41. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5

Author

Groisman, Pavel ; Shugart, Herman ; Kicklighter, David ; Henebry, Geoffrey ; Tchebakova, Nadezhda ; Maksyutov, Shamil ; Monier, Erwan ; Gutman, Garik ; Gulev, Sergey ; Qi, Jiaguo ; Prishchepov, Alexander ; Kukavskaya, Elena ; Porfiriev, Boris ; Shiklomanov, Alexander ; Loboda, Tatiana ; Shiklomanov, Nikolay ; Nghiem, Son ; Bergen, Kathleen ; Albrechtova, Jana ; Chen, Jiquan ; Shahgedanova, Maria ; Shvidenko, Anatoly ; Speranskaya, Nina ; Soja, Amber ; de Beurs, Kirsten ; Bulygina, Olga ; McCarty, Jessica ; Zhuang, Qianlai ; Zolina, Olga. / Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI) : facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century. I: Progress in Earth and Planetary Science. 2017 ; Bind 4.

Bibtex

@article{e31614fb1ed642a3baf015a2fa8bb2e6,
title = "Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI): facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century",
abstract = "During the past several decades, the Earth system has changed significantly, especially across NorthernEurasia. Changes in the socio-economic conditions of the larger countries in the region have also resulted ina variety of regional environmental changes that can have global consequences. The Northern Eurasia FutureInitiative (NEFI) has been designed as an essential continuation of the Northern Eurasia Earth SciencePartnership Initiative (NEESPI), which was launched in 2004. NEESPI sought to elucidate all aspects of ongoingenvironmental change, to inform societies and, thus, to better prepare societies for future developments. Akey principle of NEFI is that these developments must now be secured through science-based strategies codesignedwith regional decision-makers to lead their societies to prosperity in the face of environmental andinstitutional challenges. NEESPI scientific research, data, and models have created a solid knowledge base tosupport the NEFI program. This paper presents the NEFI research vision consensus based on that knowledge.It provides the reader with samples of recent accomplishments in regional studies and formulates new NEFIscience questions. To address these questions, nine research foci are identified and their selections are brieflyjustified. These foci include warming of the Arctic; changing frequency, pattern, and intensity of extreme andinclement environmental conditions; retreat of the cryosphere; changes in terrestrial water cycles; changes inthe biosphere; pressures on land use; changes in infrastructure; societal actions in response to environmentalchange; and quantification of Northern Eurasia{\textquoteright}s role in the global Earth system. Powerful feedbacks betweenthe Earth and human systems in Northern Eurasia (e.g., mega-fires, droughts, depletion of the cryosphereessential for water supply, retreat of sea ice) result from past and current human activities (e.g., large-scalewater withdrawals, land use, and governance change) and potentially restrict or provide new opportunities forfuture human activities. Therefore, we propose that integrated assessment models are needed as the finalstage of global change assessment. The overarching goal of this NEFI modeling effort will enable evaluationof economic decisions in response to changing environmental conditions and justification of mitigation andadaptation efforts.",
keywords = "Environmental changes, Northern Eurasia, Ecosystems dynamics, Terrestrial water cycle, Cryosphere retreat, Extreme and inclement environmental conditions, Sustainable development, Land cover and land use change, Integrated assessment models for decision-makers",
author = "Pavel Groisman and Herman Shugart and David Kicklighter and Geoffrey Henebry and Nadezhda Tchebakova and Shamil Maksyutov and Erwan Monier and Garik Gutman and Sergey Gulev and Jiaguo Qi and Alexander Prishchepov and Elena Kukavskaya and Boris Porfiriev and Alexander Shiklomanov and Tatiana Loboda and Nikolay Shiklomanov and Son Nghiem and Kathleen Bergen and Jana Albrechtova and Jiquan Chen and Maria Shahgedanova and Anatoly Shvidenko and Nina Speranskaya and Amber Soja and {de Beurs}, Kirsten and Olga Bulygina and Jessica McCarty and Qianlai Zhuang and Olga Zolina",
year = "2017",
month = dec,
day = "27",
doi = "10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5",
language = "English",
volume = "4",
journal = "Progress in Earth and Planetary Science",
issn = "2197-4284",
publisher = "Springer Verlag",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Northern Eurasia Future Initiative (NEFI)

T2 - facing the challenges and pathways of global change in the twenty-first century

AU - Groisman, Pavel

AU - Shugart, Herman

AU - Kicklighter, David

AU - Henebry, Geoffrey

AU - Tchebakova, Nadezhda

AU - Maksyutov, Shamil

AU - Monier, Erwan

AU - Gutman, Garik

AU - Gulev, Sergey

AU - Qi, Jiaguo

AU - Prishchepov, Alexander

AU - Kukavskaya, Elena

AU - Porfiriev, Boris

AU - Shiklomanov, Alexander

AU - Loboda, Tatiana

AU - Shiklomanov, Nikolay

AU - Nghiem, Son

AU - Bergen, Kathleen

AU - Albrechtova, Jana

AU - Chen, Jiquan

AU - Shahgedanova, Maria

AU - Shvidenko, Anatoly

AU - Speranskaya, Nina

AU - Soja, Amber

AU - de Beurs, Kirsten

AU - Bulygina, Olga

AU - McCarty, Jessica

AU - Zhuang, Qianlai

AU - Zolina, Olga

PY - 2017/12/27

Y1 - 2017/12/27

N2 - During the past several decades, the Earth system has changed significantly, especially across NorthernEurasia. Changes in the socio-economic conditions of the larger countries in the region have also resulted ina variety of regional environmental changes that can have global consequences. The Northern Eurasia FutureInitiative (NEFI) has been designed as an essential continuation of the Northern Eurasia Earth SciencePartnership Initiative (NEESPI), which was launched in 2004. NEESPI sought to elucidate all aspects of ongoingenvironmental change, to inform societies and, thus, to better prepare societies for future developments. Akey principle of NEFI is that these developments must now be secured through science-based strategies codesignedwith regional decision-makers to lead their societies to prosperity in the face of environmental andinstitutional challenges. NEESPI scientific research, data, and models have created a solid knowledge base tosupport the NEFI program. This paper presents the NEFI research vision consensus based on that knowledge.It provides the reader with samples of recent accomplishments in regional studies and formulates new NEFIscience questions. To address these questions, nine research foci are identified and their selections are brieflyjustified. These foci include warming of the Arctic; changing frequency, pattern, and intensity of extreme andinclement environmental conditions; retreat of the cryosphere; changes in terrestrial water cycles; changes inthe biosphere; pressures on land use; changes in infrastructure; societal actions in response to environmentalchange; and quantification of Northern Eurasia’s role in the global Earth system. Powerful feedbacks betweenthe Earth and human systems in Northern Eurasia (e.g., mega-fires, droughts, depletion of the cryosphereessential for water supply, retreat of sea ice) result from past and current human activities (e.g., large-scalewater withdrawals, land use, and governance change) and potentially restrict or provide new opportunities forfuture human activities. Therefore, we propose that integrated assessment models are needed as the finalstage of global change assessment. The overarching goal of this NEFI modeling effort will enable evaluationof economic decisions in response to changing environmental conditions and justification of mitigation andadaptation efforts.

AB - During the past several decades, the Earth system has changed significantly, especially across NorthernEurasia. Changes in the socio-economic conditions of the larger countries in the region have also resulted ina variety of regional environmental changes that can have global consequences. The Northern Eurasia FutureInitiative (NEFI) has been designed as an essential continuation of the Northern Eurasia Earth SciencePartnership Initiative (NEESPI), which was launched in 2004. NEESPI sought to elucidate all aspects of ongoingenvironmental change, to inform societies and, thus, to better prepare societies for future developments. Akey principle of NEFI is that these developments must now be secured through science-based strategies codesignedwith regional decision-makers to lead their societies to prosperity in the face of environmental andinstitutional challenges. NEESPI scientific research, data, and models have created a solid knowledge base tosupport the NEFI program. This paper presents the NEFI research vision consensus based on that knowledge.It provides the reader with samples of recent accomplishments in regional studies and formulates new NEFIscience questions. To address these questions, nine research foci are identified and their selections are brieflyjustified. These foci include warming of the Arctic; changing frequency, pattern, and intensity of extreme andinclement environmental conditions; retreat of the cryosphere; changes in terrestrial water cycles; changes inthe biosphere; pressures on land use; changes in infrastructure; societal actions in response to environmentalchange; and quantification of Northern Eurasia’s role in the global Earth system. Powerful feedbacks betweenthe Earth and human systems in Northern Eurasia (e.g., mega-fires, droughts, depletion of the cryosphereessential for water supply, retreat of sea ice) result from past and current human activities (e.g., large-scalewater withdrawals, land use, and governance change) and potentially restrict or provide new opportunities forfuture human activities. Therefore, we propose that integrated assessment models are needed as the finalstage of global change assessment. The overarching goal of this NEFI modeling effort will enable evaluationof economic decisions in response to changing environmental conditions and justification of mitigation andadaptation efforts.

KW - Environmental changes

KW - Northern Eurasia

KW - Ecosystems dynamics

KW - Terrestrial water cycle

KW - Cryosphere retreat

KW - Extreme and inclement environmental conditions

KW - Sustainable development

KW - Land cover and land use change

KW - Integrated assessment models for decision-makers

U2 - 10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5

DO - 10.1186/s40645-017-0154-5

M3 - Review

VL - 4

JO - Progress in Earth and Planetary Science

JF - Progress in Earth and Planetary Science

SN - 2197-4284

M1 - 41

ER -

ID: 191201395