TorsdagsGEO 12. maj 2022 kl. 16-17
(på engelsk) 

Can geoscientists predict earthquakes?
And should they?

Jordskælv i Haiti. Foto: Getty

Forecasting earthquakes is a controversial topic, as it presents scientific challenges that have also political and societal implications. Should scientists aim at accurate predictions of when and where earthquakes occur?

Or should they instead focus more on how probable an earthquake is in a certain region? How should society view the input from scientists? Should we demand accurate predictions, or instead view seismic hazard much like bad weather forecast (i.e., something that might happen and for which we think we are prepared)?

The presentation will review of some of the scientific aspects of earthquake hazard forecasting, and will provide some food for thoughts on how society could relate to it.