Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Standard

Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain. / Chen, Haorui; Wu, Mousong; Duan, Zheng; Zha, Yuanyuan; Wang, Songhan; Yang, Long; Zou, Liangchao; Zheng, Minjie; Chen, Peng; Cao, Wei; Zhang, Wenxin.

In: Hydrological Processes, Vol. 37, No. 3, e14853, 2023.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

Harvard

Chen, H, Wu, M, Duan, Z, Zha, Y, Wang, S, Yang, L, Zou, L, Zheng, M, Chen, P, Cao, W & Zhang, W 2023, 'Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain', Hydrological Processes, vol. 37, no. 3, e14853. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14853

APA

Chen, H., Wu, M., Duan, Z., Zha, Y., Wang, S., Yang, L., Zou, L., Zheng, M., Chen, P., Cao, W., & Zhang, W. (2023). Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain. Hydrological Processes, 37(3), [e14853]. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14853

Vancouver

Chen H, Wu M, Duan Z, Zha Y, Wang S, Yang L et al. Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain. Hydrological Processes. 2023;37(3). e14853. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14853

Author

Chen, Haorui ; Wu, Mousong ; Duan, Zheng ; Zha, Yuanyuan ; Wang, Songhan ; Yang, Long ; Zou, Liangchao ; Zheng, Minjie ; Chen, Peng ; Cao, Wei ; Zhang, Wenxin. / Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain. In: Hydrological Processes. 2023 ; Vol. 37, No. 3.

Bibtex

@article{a6e46424332d4a67b3823f1634e95fb2,
title = "Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain",
abstract = "Climate change has caused significant impacts on water resource redistribution around the world and posed a great threat in the last several decades due to intensive human activities. The impacts of human water use and management on regional water resources remain unclear as they are intertwined with the impacts of climate change. In this study, we disentangled the impact of climate-induced human activities on groundwater resources in a typical region of the semi-arid North China Plain based on a process-oriented groundwater modelling approach accounting for climate-human-groundwater interactions. We found that the climate-induced human effect is amplified in water resources management ({\textquoteleft}amplifying effect{\textquoteright}) for our study region under future climate scenarios. We specifically derived a tipping point for annual precipitation of 350 mm, below which the climate-induced human activities on groundwater withdrawal will cause significant {\textquoteleft}amplifying effect{\textquoteright} on groundwater depletion. Furthermore, we explored the different pumping scenarios under various climate conditions and investigated the pumping thresholds, which the pumping amount should not exceed (4 × 107 m3) in order to control future groundwater level depletion. Our results highlight that it is critical to implement adaptive water use practices, such as water-saving irrigation technologies in the semi-arid regions, in order to mitigate the negative impacts of groundwater overexploitation, particularly when annual precipitation is anomalously low.",
keywords = "amplifying effect, climate change, groundwater, human activities, water use",
author = "Haorui Chen and Mousong Wu and Zheng Duan and Yuanyuan Zha and Songhan Wang and Long Yang and Liangchao Zou and Minjie Zheng and Peng Chen and Wei Cao and Wenxin Zhang",
note = "CENPERM[2023] Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2023 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.",
year = "2023",
doi = "10.1002/hyp.14853",
language = "English",
volume = "37",
journal = "Hydrological Processes",
issn = "0885-6087",
publisher = "Wiley",
number = "3",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Forecasting the human and climate impacts on groundwater resources in the irrigated agricultural region of North China Plain

AU - Chen, Haorui

AU - Wu, Mousong

AU - Duan, Zheng

AU - Zha, Yuanyuan

AU - Wang, Songhan

AU - Yang, Long

AU - Zou, Liangchao

AU - Zheng, Minjie

AU - Chen, Peng

AU - Cao, Wei

AU - Zhang, Wenxin

N1 - CENPERM[2023] Publisher Copyright: © 2023 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

PY - 2023

Y1 - 2023

N2 - Climate change has caused significant impacts on water resource redistribution around the world and posed a great threat in the last several decades due to intensive human activities. The impacts of human water use and management on regional water resources remain unclear as they are intertwined with the impacts of climate change. In this study, we disentangled the impact of climate-induced human activities on groundwater resources in a typical region of the semi-arid North China Plain based on a process-oriented groundwater modelling approach accounting for climate-human-groundwater interactions. We found that the climate-induced human effect is amplified in water resources management (‘amplifying effect’) for our study region under future climate scenarios. We specifically derived a tipping point for annual precipitation of 350 mm, below which the climate-induced human activities on groundwater withdrawal will cause significant ‘amplifying effect’ on groundwater depletion. Furthermore, we explored the different pumping scenarios under various climate conditions and investigated the pumping thresholds, which the pumping amount should not exceed (4 × 107 m3) in order to control future groundwater level depletion. Our results highlight that it is critical to implement adaptive water use practices, such as water-saving irrigation technologies in the semi-arid regions, in order to mitigate the negative impacts of groundwater overexploitation, particularly when annual precipitation is anomalously low.

AB - Climate change has caused significant impacts on water resource redistribution around the world and posed a great threat in the last several decades due to intensive human activities. The impacts of human water use and management on regional water resources remain unclear as they are intertwined with the impacts of climate change. In this study, we disentangled the impact of climate-induced human activities on groundwater resources in a typical region of the semi-arid North China Plain based on a process-oriented groundwater modelling approach accounting for climate-human-groundwater interactions. We found that the climate-induced human effect is amplified in water resources management (‘amplifying effect’) for our study region under future climate scenarios. We specifically derived a tipping point for annual precipitation of 350 mm, below which the climate-induced human activities on groundwater withdrawal will cause significant ‘amplifying effect’ on groundwater depletion. Furthermore, we explored the different pumping scenarios under various climate conditions and investigated the pumping thresholds, which the pumping amount should not exceed (4 × 107 m3) in order to control future groundwater level depletion. Our results highlight that it is critical to implement adaptive water use practices, such as water-saving irrigation technologies in the semi-arid regions, in order to mitigate the negative impacts of groundwater overexploitation, particularly when annual precipitation is anomalously low.

KW - amplifying effect

KW - climate change

KW - groundwater

KW - human activities

KW - water use

U2 - 10.1002/hyp.14853

DO - 10.1002/hyp.14853

M3 - Journal article

AN - SCOPUS:85150940048

VL - 37

JO - Hydrological Processes

JF - Hydrological Processes

SN - 0885-6087

IS - 3

M1 - e14853

ER -

ID: 341840588