Iterative integration of deep learning in hybrid Earth surface system modelling

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articleResearchpeer-review

  • Min Chen
  • Zhen Qian
  • Niklas Boers
  • Anthony J. Jakeman
  • Albert J. Kettner
  • Mei Po Kwan
  • Michael Batty
  • Wenwen Li
  • Rui Zhu
  • Wei Luo
  • Daniel P. Ames
  • C. Michael Barton
  • Susan M. Cuddy
  • Sujan Koirala
  • Fan Zhang
  • Carlo Ratti
  • Jian Liu
  • Teng Zhong
  • Junzhi Liu
  • Yongning Wen
  • Songshan Yue
  • Zhiyi Zhu
  • Zhixin Zhang
  • Zhuo Sun
  • Jian Lin
  • Zaiyang Ma
  • Yuanqing He
  • Kai Xu
  • Chunxiao Zhang
  • Hui Lin
  • Guonian Lü

Earth system modelling (ESM) is essential for understanding past, present and future Earth processes. Deep learning (DL), with the data-driven strength of neural networks, has promise for improving ESM by exploiting information from Big Data. Yet existing hybrid ESMs largely have deep neural networks incorporated only during the initial stage of model development. In this Perspective, we examine progress in hybrid ESM, focusing on the Earth surface system, and propose a framework that integrates neural networks into ESM throughout the modelling lifecycle. In this framework, DL computing systems and ESM-related knowledge repositories are set up in a homogeneous computational environment. DL can infer unknown or missing information, feeding it back into the knowledge repositories, while the ESM-related knowledge can constrain inference results of the DL. By fostering collaboration between ESM-related knowledge and DL systems, adaptive guidance plans can be generated through question-answering mechanisms and recommendation functions. As users interact iteratively, the hybrid system deepens its understanding of their preferences, resulting in increasingly customized, scalable and accurate guidance plans for modelling Earth processes. The advancement of this framework necessitates interdisciplinary collaboration, focusing on explainable DL and maintaining observational data to ensure the reliability of simulations.

Original languageEnglish
JournalNature Reviews Earth & Environment
Volume4
Pages (from-to)568–581
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2023

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© 2023, Springer Nature Limited.

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