The utility of using Volunteered Geographic Information (VGI) for evaluating pluvial flood models

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  • Martin Drews
  • Max Steinhausen
  • Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen
  • Dømgaard, Mads Lykke
  • Levente Huszti
  • Tibor Rácz
  • Michel Wortmann
  • Fred Fokko Hattermann
  • Kai Schröter

Pluvial floods are increasingly threatening urban environments worldwide due to human-induced climate change. High-resolution, state-of-the-art pluvial flood models are urgently needed to inform climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction measures but are generally not empirically tested because of the rarity of local high-intensity precipitation events and the lack of monitoring capabilities. Volunteered Geographic Information (VGI) collected by professionals, non-professionals and citizens and made available on the internet can be used to monitor the dynamic extent of a pluvial flood during and after an extreme rain event but is sometimes considered to be unreliable. In this paper, we explore the general utility of VGI to evaluate the performance of pluvial flood models and gain new insights to improve these models. As background for our research, we use the capital city of Budapest, which recently suffered three heavy rainfall events in just five years (2015, 2017 and 2020). For each pluvial flood event, we collected photographic evidence from different online media sources and estimated the associated water depths at various locations in the city from the image context. These were compared with the results of a 2D pluvial flood model that has been shown to provide comparable results to other state-of-the-art inundation models and is easily transferred to other urban areas due to its reliance on open data sources. We introduce a general methodology for comparing VGI with model data by probing different spatial resolutions. Our findings highlight untapped potential and fundamental challenges in using VGI for model evaluation. It is proposed that VGI may become an essential tool and improve the confidence in model-based risk assessments for climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
Artikelnummer164962
TidsskriftScience of the Total Environment
Vol/bind894
Antal sider12
ISSN0048-9697
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2023

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
This work has been supported by the EU H2020 Programme under grant #730381 (Oasis Innovation Hub for Catastrophe and Climate Extremes Risk Assessment). We also acknowledge the Copernicus Programme for making open-source data available for our work, Dr. Monika Lakatos (Hungarian Meteorological Service) for kindly providing updated IDF curves for Budapest, and the Budapest Sewage Works for making rain gauge data available.

Funding Information:
This work has been supported by the EU H2020 Programme under grant # 730381 (Oasis Innovation Hub for Catastrophe and Climate Extremes Risk Assessment). We also acknowledge the Copernicus Programme for making open-source data available for our work, Dr. Monika Lakatos (Hungarian Meteorological Service) for kindly providing updated IDF curves for Budapest, and the Budapest Sewage Works for making rain gauge data available.

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© 2023

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