Mapping cropland abandonment and distinguishing from intentional afforestation with Landsat time series

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Detecting cropland abandonment in a timely manner is essential to unlock the potential of such abandoned lands, for instance, to alleviate world hunger and steer environmental restoration. However, the challenge remains how to separate cropland abandonment from spectrally similar land-cover change trajectories, such as intentional afforestation (i.e., tree plantations) on former agricultural lands. Taking the South Sichuan province of China as a study area, this study developed a new approach by integrating land-cover change trajectories mapped using the random forest classifier and LandTrendr, as well as NDVI change based on Landsat time series to reveal abandoned cropland from 2003 to 2018. Results showed that the developed methodology could help to distinguish cropland abandonment with 76% producer’s and 80% user’s accuracies. The study showed that, by 2018, 0.37 million ha (approximately 15.54%) of previously cultivated land became truly abandoned, and 0.53 million ha (approximately 22.27%) of previously cultivated land became intentionally afforested. Annual abandonment rates were high at the beginning of the study period and low by 2018. Overall, our study highlights how the magnitude and pace of NDVI change helped to distinguish abandoned cropland from other land uses, such as intentional afforestation. The method can be adapted to map cropland abandonment accurately elsewhere; thus, our results can assist in evaluating land-use policies which aimed at guiding the cropland abandonment process.
OriginalsprogEngelsk
Artikelnummer103693
TidsskriftInternational Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation
Vol/bind127
Antal sider14
ISSN1569-8432
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2024

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
We sincerely thank the constructive comments from the editor and anonymous reviewers. This work was supported by the China Scholarship Council (CSC) and was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) (41971234/41901231) and Nanjing University Innovation and Creative Program for Ph.D. candidate (CXCY19-55). We thank DFF-Danish ERC Support Program, grant/ award number: 116491 9127-00001B. The presented work supports the Global Land Programmers initiative, “Agricultural land abandonment as a global land-use change phenomenon” working Group (https://glp.earth/how-we-work/working-groups/agricultural-land-abandonment-global-land-use-change-phenomenon).

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