Towards an increasingly biased view on Arctic change

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  • Efrén López-Blanco
  • Elmer Topp-Jørgensen
  • Torben R. Christensen
  • Morten Rasch
  • Henrik Skov
  • Marie F. Arndal
  • M. Syndonia Bret-Harte
  • Terry V. Callaghan
  • Niels M. Schmidt

The Russian invasion of Ukraine hampers the ability to adequately describe conditions across the Arctic, thus biasing the view on Arctic change. Here we benchmark the pan-Arctic representativeness of the largest high-latitude research station network, INTERACT, with or without Russian stations. Excluding Russian stations lowers representativeness markedly, with some biases being of the same magnitude as the expected shifts caused by climate change by the end of the century.

OriginalsprogEngelsk
TidsskriftNature climate change
Vol/bind14
Udgave nummer2
Sider (fra-til)152-155
Antal sider4
ISSN1758-678X
DOI
StatusUdgivet - 2024

Bibliografisk note

Funding Information:
This work was supported by the International Network for Terrestrial Research and Monitoring in the Arctic (INTERACT, https://eu-interact.org/ ) funded by the European Union’s HORIZON2020 Research and Innovation programme under grant agreement number 871120. We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme, which, through its Working Group on Coupled Modelling, coordinated and promoted CMIP6. We thank the climate modelling groups for producing and making available their model output, the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) for archiving the data and providing access, and the multiple funding agencies who support CMIP6 and ESGF. We give credit to the Alaska Geobotany Center for the original Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map (CAVM). We acknowledge the DEM created by the ArcticDEM project funded by the Polar Geospatial Center under NSF-OPP awards 1043681, 1559691, 1542736, 1810976 and 2129685. E.L.-B. was supported by the Greenland Research Council (GRC) grant number 80.35, financed by the ‘Danish Program for Arctic Research’. E.L.-B. and T.R.C. consider this study a contribution to GreenFeedBack (greenhouse gas fluxes and Earth system feedbacks) funded by the European Union’s HORIZON Research and Innovation programme under grant agreement number 101056921. H.S. considers this study a contribution to AMAP Core Atmosphere grant number 2021–60333.

Funding Information:
This work was supported by the International Network for Terrestrial Research and Monitoring in the Arctic (INTERACT, https://eu-interact.org/) funded by the European Union’s HORIZON2020 Research and Innovation programme under grant agreement number 871120. We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme, which, through its Working Group on Coupled Modelling, coordinated and promoted CMIP6. We thank the climate modelling groups for producing and making available their model output, the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF) for archiving the data and providing access, and the multiple funding agencies who support CMIP6 and ESGF. We give credit to the Alaska Geobotany Center for the original Circumpolar Arctic Vegetation Map (CAVM). We acknowledge the DEM created by the ArcticDEM project funded by the Polar Geospatial Center under NSF-OPP awards 1043681, 1559691, 1542736, 1810976 and 2129685. E.L.-B. was supported by the Greenland Research Council (GRC) grant number 80.35, financed by the ‘Danish Program for Arctic Research’. E.L.-B. and T.R.C. consider this study a contribution to GreenFeedBack (greenhouse gas fluxes and Earth system feedbacks) funded by the European Union’s HORIZON Research and Innovation programme under grant agreement number 101056921. H.S. considers this study a contribution to AMAP Core Atmosphere grant number 2021–60333.

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2024.

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