TY - CHAP

T1 - Approaches to foresight recreation and tourism in nature

T2 - Experiences from the Nordic Region

AU - Fredman, Peter

AU - Sievänen, Tuija

AU - Jensen, Frank S.

AU - Gundersen, Vegard

AU - Wall-Reinius, Sandra

AU - Lexhagen, Maria

AU - Lundberg, Christine

AU - Sandell, Klas

AU - Vistad, Odd Inge

AU - Wolf-Watz, Daniel

PY - 2023

Y1 - 2023

N2 - This chapter discusses approaches to do foresights in outdoor recreation and tourism in nature, based on research from the Nordic countries. This region has a long-standing reputation for promoting outdoor recreation, with associated policies aiming to support this tradition for the benefit of future generations and environmental engagement. To do so successfully, one key input is improving the knowledge of outdoor recreational participation, associated trends, and future development. In this chapter, we therefore review different monitoring approaches to trend analyses as a means of forecasting participation and discuss supplementary approaches to foresight in outdoor recreation. We operationalize the Nordic context through studies undertaken in Finland, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway. Our examination shows that the tradition of national surveys and on-site visitor monitoring has proven effective. However, contemporary changes in society call for additional approaches to better understand future outdoor recreation. We therefore share experiences from several different approaches to foresight in outdoor recreation. This will inform future research as well as managers, entrepreneurs, planners and policymakers in their decision-making.

AB - This chapter discusses approaches to do foresights in outdoor recreation and tourism in nature, based on research from the Nordic countries. This region has a long-standing reputation for promoting outdoor recreation, with associated policies aiming to support this tradition for the benefit of future generations and environmental engagement. To do so successfully, one key input is improving the knowledge of outdoor recreational participation, associated trends, and future development. In this chapter, we therefore review different monitoring approaches to trend analyses as a means of forecasting participation and discuss supplementary approaches to foresight in outdoor recreation. We operationalize the Nordic context through studies undertaken in Finland, Sweden, Denmark, and Norway. Our examination shows that the tradition of national surveys and on-site visitor monitoring has proven effective. However, contemporary changes in society call for additional approaches to better understand future outdoor recreation. We therefore share experiences from several different approaches to foresight in outdoor recreation. This will inform future research as well as managers, entrepreneurs, planners and policymakers in their decision-making.

U2 - 10.4324/9781003230748-12

DO - 10.4324/9781003230748-12

M3 - Book chapter

SN - 9781003230748

T3 - Routledge International Handbooks

SP - 131

EP - 148

BT - The Routledge Handbook of Nature Based Tourism Development

A2 - Mandić, Ante

A2 - Walia, Sandeep K.

PB - Routledge

ER -